ForeignAffairsMag在2021-05-31~2021-06-06的言论
- 1: The Taiwan Temptation: Why Beijing Might Resort to Force, submitted on 2021-06-03 23:35:33+08:00.
1: The Taiwan Temptation: Why Beijing Might Resort to Force, submitted on 2021-06-03 23:35:33+08:00.
—– 1.1 —–2021-06-03 23:42:53+08:00:
[SS from the essay by Oriana Skylar Mastro, Center Fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies at Stanford University]
Those who doubt the immediacy of the threat to Taiwan argue that Xi has not publicly declared a timeline for unification—and may not even have a specific one in mind. Since 1979, when the United States stopped recognizing Taiwan, China’s policy has been, in the words of John Culver, a retired U.S. intelligence officer and Asia analyst, “to preserve the possibility of political unification at some undefined point in the future.” Implied in this formulation is that China can live with the status quo—a de facto, but not de jure, independent Taiwan—in perpetuity.
But although Xi may not have sent out a save-the-date card, he has clearly indicated that he feels differently about the status quo than his predecessors did. He has publicly called for progress toward unification, staking his legitimacy on movement in that direction. In 2017, for instance, he announced that “complete national reunification is an inevitable requirement for realizing the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation,” thus tying Taiwan’s future to his primary political platform. Two years later, he stated explicitly that unification is a requirement for achieving the so-called Chinese dream.
Xi has also made clear that he is more willing than his predecessors to use force.
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