ForeignAffairsMag在2021-07-19~2021-07-25的言论

2021-07-22 作者: ForeignAffairsMag 原文 #Reddit 的其它文章

18: A Taliban Victory Is Not Inevitable: How to Prevent Catastrophe in a Post-American Afghanistan, submitted on 2021-07-22 00:34:16+08:00.

—– 18.1 —–2021-07-22 00:37:53+08:00:

[SS from the article by Seth G. Jones, Senior Vice President and Director at the Center for Strategic and International Studies]

Preventing catastrophe—a complete Taliban military victory and the reestablishment of terrorist safe havens—depends on what the United States does now. Without overt U.S. military forces on the ground, the next best way to avoid the worst outcomes in Afghanistan and minimize the downsides of a withdrawal is through a strategy focused on supporting Afghan security forces and striking terrorists. This approach would entail funding and arming the Afghan government and other anti-Taliban forces, deploying small numbers of CIA paramilitary units and U.S. special operations forces, and striking targets from the air.

Such a strategy will not prevent the Taliban from overrunning Afghan cities. But it may be enough to minimize the likelihood of a terrorist sanctuary, prevent the Taliban from controlling all of Afghanistan, limit a humanitarian crisis, and stop other powers from filling the vacuum. After 20 years of direct U.S. involvement in a war that many Americans have grown tired of fighting, this is the most practical way forward.


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