theoryofdoom在2022-01-10~2022-01-16的言论

2022-01-16 作者: theoryofdoom 原文 #Reddit 的其它文章

22: Russia’s Putin Seizes on Crises to Assert Control Over Former Soviet Republics, submitted on 2022-01-10 06:53:36+08:00.

—– 22.1 —–2022-01-10 06:54:30+08:00:

Submission Statement: Within the former Soviet bloc — Russia’s so-called “sphere of influence” — Vladimir Putin (Russian president) has asserted Russian hegemony through conquest, subversion, guerilla warfare and campaigns of disinformation in Georgia, Ukraine, Belarus, Moldova, Azerbaijan, Armenia and now Kazakhstan. This article analyzes the now fifteen-year pattern how Putin foments and exploits crisis to further Russia’s geopolitical interests, at the expense of its neighbors autonomy.

No Paywall: https://archive.fo/HhAed

—– 23.1 —–2022-01-11 12:51:00+08:00:

Yet another astonishingly vapid perspective.

24: “Why is Ukraine the West’s Fault? Featuring John Mearsheimer” Outstanding break down of the situation in the Ukraine. The dangers it presents to Ukrainians and to the west (and obviously Russia), submitted on 2022-01-11 12:00:53+08:00.

—– 24.1 —–2022-01-11 12:53:18+08:00:

Mearsheimer is irrelevant.

—– 24.2 —–2022-01-12 00:14:12+08:00:

The person you’ve called “irrelevant” is one of the most relevant scholars of the international relations.

I am disinclined to undertake a broader review of his work and impact here, but I’ll note the following: Mearsheimer held that title at one point, but has since lost it. There are some of his earlier books I think are worth reading (e.g., The Tragedy of Great Power Politics) and at least one of his later books are worth reading too (e.g., The Great Delusion: Liberal Dreams and International Realities).

But as soon as he’s charged with analyzing specific matters, he’s off the rails. Ukraine is clear evidence of the same. Mearsheimer’s oft-repeated West-blaming argument for Ukraine is at once wrong in fact and theory. And it’s not like Michael McFaul is the only one saying that, either. Nearly anyone who carefully considers Mearsheimer’s logic will realize its deficits without difficulty.

25: Chicago public school students will return to classroom Wednesday after teachers union suspends work action, mayor says, submitted on 2022-01-11 12:16:28+08:00.

—– 25.1 —–2022-01-12 02:22:21+08:00:

Your stance is inherently harmful in that it directs people towards harm by telling them to disregard caution. I guess I don’t really want to argue with you, I am not looking to engage with more logical fallacies, I just want one thing.

Don’t do this again. It’s a clear violation of Rules 1 and 14, and approaches spam (prohibited by Rule 13).

—– 25.2 —–2022-01-12 02:24:01+08:00:

u/GenericUsername52455 I believe this violates rule 1.

Asking for moderation to retaliate for community backlash, after you’ve stirred the pot is clearly a violation of Rule 14.

—– 25.3 —–2022-01-12 02:27:12+08:00:

Stirred the pot? What did I do? This feels a lot like victim blaming.

The provocative nature of your activity in this thread is self-evident. I am disinclined to believe you seriously think you have complied with Rule 1.

—– 25.4 —–2022-01-12 02:43:26+08:00:

I imagine you’re sitting in your fart sniffing chamber when you type this garbage out.

Removed. Rule 1. If someone is being obnoxious, best to not respond.

26: Bad Writing, submitted on 2022-01-11 21:05:35+08:00.

—– 26.1 —–2022-01-11 23:52:30+08:00:

Agree with this. The Jack Reacher books are among the worst in the mass market action/thriller category. Really, anything that Lee Child wrote is an excellent example of what not to do as an author. The same goes goes for Ben Coes, Brad Taylor and Brad Meltzer, and the universe of everything they’ve published.

Examples of how to do that right include, but are not limited to, the novels written by: Vince Flynn, Jack Carr and Brad Thor. Kyle Mills’ continuation of the Mitch Rapp series are good, but the last one was a flop in my view. The original Vince Flynn novels were better.

—– 26.2 —–2022-01-11 23:53:44+08:00:

I found myself too preoccupied with the awkwardness of Child’s prose to enjoy the plot.

—– 26.3 —–2022-01-12 09:02:40+08:00:

Nick Pirog

Yep, I agree. Though I haven’t read a single one of his books in full, I read the first chapter of one of his books in an airport once. Was not impressed.

27: Joe Biden and Kamala Harris have become unpopular. It may be time for a change candidate - Hillary Clinton, submitted on 2022-01-12 02:45:24+08:00.

—– 27.1 —–2022-01-12 10:21:04+08:00:

Hillary Clinton. A “change” candidate? I voted for her in 2016, but will not do it again.

28: Help finding research on the vaccine stoping the spread of covid to others., submitted on 2022-01-13 03:50:26+08:00.

—– 28.1 —–2022-01-13 13:24:57+08:00:

I keep seeing how the unvaxxed have to get tested once a week, yet the vaxxed don’t require it. If both can spread it the same why is this happening?

The “weekly testing” regimes don’t work the same way as vaccination, and aren’t intended for the same purposes. Weekly testing requirements are geared more towards public health considerations than individual-level effort to “stop the spread.”

Here are the basic ideas:

  1. First, weekly testing is burdensome to unvaccinated individuals. It’s less burdensome to simply get vaccinated. That’s one type of incentive to encourage vaccination. This is straightforward and obvious, though a lot of people are unwilling to just come out and state it. The burdens associated with weekly testing regimes aren’t a bug, they’re a feature. All part of the game theory of public health.
  2. Second, weekly testing the unvaccinated results provide information about probability of infection. If you are unvaccinated and infected, you are more likely to require medical treatment than if you are vaccinated and infected. Based on that idea, positives among unvaccinated populations allow relevant decision makers to anticipate future demands on public resources and respond accordingly. Doing so is one way to mitigate the burdens associated with people who are not vaccinated being hospitalized.
  3. Third, weekly testing does not necessarily provide those benefits for vaccinated populations. If you are vaccinated, you are less likely to be hospitalized and therefore less likely to impose demands on public resources. This is why there is less utility associated with imposing similar requirements on vaccinated populations.
  4. Fourth, the benefits of weekly testing vaccinated populations are not currently thought to outweigh the harms:
  • While it is true that vaccinated persons can and do become hospitalized, they do so at lower rates than unvaccinated persons.
  • Likewise, there are risks to being able to properly assess vaccine efficacy and other metrics associated with over-testing vaccinated persons who lack infection symptoms.
  • And obviously, if the goal is to encourage vaccination, subjecting vaccinated populations to the same testing requirements as unvaccinated populations is counterproductive.

Vaccines, on the other hand, are about two things:

  1. For individuals, the idea behind the mRNA vaccines is to train your immune system to combat infection. So by vaccinating, you’re reducing the probability of initial — and particularly, symptomatic — infection in a subject and increasing odds of survival following infection and hospitalization.
  2. From a public health perspective, the idea behind vaccines is that you’re taking someone out of the pool of persons likely to be infected or become symptomatically infected or likely to impose demands on public resources due to hospitalization, following infection.

Given those points, it should come as no surprise that vaccines reduce the spread of COVID infection to others in a number of ways. Others have linked some papers tending to show that, though it’s a messy picture trying to prove and the data ecosystem on that point is really messy — which I suspect is why I think you had trouble finding resources relating to reduced community transmission.

Some speculate that this will be less the case with omicron. For example, Fauci, at today’s white house press briefing:

You reduce the duration of illness. You reduce, to some extent, infectivity and transmission. And importantly, particularly as we’re dealing with this extraordinary situation with Omicron, you minimize the stress on the healthcare system.

Though I think it’s too early to say. We’ll see.

29: Omicron so contagious most Americans will get Covid, top US health officials say, submitted on 2022-01-13 10:22:31+08:00.

—– 29.1 —–2022-01-13 12:27:25+08:00:

Do not shorten links.

30: Is NATO the same as the UN? Asking for a dumb friend of mine., submitted on 2022-01-13 11:08:44+08:00.

—– 30.1 —–2022-01-13 12:28:05+08:00:

No. NATO is not the same as the UN.

31: Police officer tells their dog to attack this man but the dog was confused cause he couldn’t find anyone threatening, submitted on 2022-01-14 11:01:41+08:00.

—– 31.1 —–2022-01-14 22:56:14+08:00:

We literally hire the worst emotionally fragile people to do this job. Their first instinct is to harm.

I tend to agree, for the United States at least. There, the hires tend to comprise a lot of mid- to late-20’s or early 30’s military washouts with latent, undiagnosed and untreated PTSD. Once they’re hired, the culture of most departments reinforces bad behavior and institutional pathologies, where cops see themselves as “the thin blue line” between order and chaos — under a state of constant siege. It’s that siege mentality that makes cops instinctively react with harm, because they perceive everything around them as a threat. Add to that the War on Terror’s technological leftovers and you’ve got a recipe for disaster.

That’s what I see in the difference between the dog’s instincts and the cop’s instincts here. Typically police dogs respond to their handler’s reactions, tone and body language. But the dog is making decisions based on what it sees and what it doesn’t see is a threat. Some here have speculated that the cop didn’t perceive the guy as a threat because of how he handled the dog, though I disagree. Cops (that are not canines) see everyone as threats, always. Dogs on the other hand do not. This dog is more psychologically balanced than the cop.

The sad part is that it doesn’t have to be this way. There are countries where the police force is professional, competent, highly trained and maintain a culture of accountability. For example, in Germany the kinds of problems with police departments simply do not exist like they do in America. Even better situation in Switzerland, where this kind of thing simply does not happen.

32: Avoid any testing site that’s operated by “The Center for Covid Care”, submitted on 2022-01-14 11:03:09+08:00.

—– 32.1 —–2022-01-14 14:21:25+08:00:

I literally could not imagine someone opening a fake covid testing site until i went through this bullshit.

Ways to be evil don’t typically occur to good people. Medical billing fraud is common, lucrative and very difficult to identify. But here’s something to keep in mind: whenever the government allocates a whole bunch of money for essentially anything, this kind of thing will follow. It’s not limited to medicine, either. It happens to the extent government pays for anything. From ambulance services, to construction contracts to the earned income tax credit.

Here’s the good news: they’ll get their due. The Illinois attorney general really is interested in putting the screws to these shithole people and he’s already put points on the board.

—– 32.2 —–2022-01-14 14:23:47+08:00:

Or are they somehow making money from submitting tests?

They’re getting paid tax dollars to pretend to test for COVID.

33: Reporter: “So the sense is things are going well [at the White House], there’s no need for change right now?” Jen Psaki: “We could certainly propose legislation to see if people support bunny rabbits and ice cream, but that wouldn’t be very rewarding for the American people.”, submitted on 2022-01-14 13:51:12+08:00.

—– 33.1 —–2022-01-14 23:32:13+08:00:

How are they still this smug?

It’s that Jen Psaki believes her own bullshit.

34: In the event of a full scale invasion of Ukraine, how would Chernobyl factor into troops movements? What are the risks involved if the sarcophagus surrounding it were to be accidentally damaged?, submitted on 2022-01-15 01:36:22+08:00.

—– 34.1 —–2022-01-16 12:48:27+08:00:

This type of topic should be submitted to credibledefense. Not here.

35: Unofficial Daily Update for 2022-01-14. 29639 New Cases., submitted on 2022-01-15 02:05:05+08:00.

—– 35.1 —–2022-01-15 09:19:04+08:00:

We’re coming up on 5 months since the mask mandate was reinstated and we still haven’t heard a peep about the details beyond the initial announcement.

It will go, just like it came.

—– 35.2 —–2022-01-15 09:23:48+08:00:

I don’t think we’re far from society concluding that positive covid tests aren’t a big deal anymore

At the moment, people are still recovering from the shock value associated with being told that healthcare care workers can return to work, even with positive COVID test.

But given that 91% of Chicagoans feel the city is headed in the wrong direction, I’d expect new thinking to come soon.

36: Judge Shames 72-Year-Old Cancer Patient For Not Maintaining Lawn, submitted on 2022-01-15 03:39:15+08:00.

—– 36.1 —–2022-01-16 02:38:48+08:00:

petition

Not the right strategy. If you want to actually change things, file a grievance with Michigan State Judicial Commission:

http://jtc.courts.mi.gov/file_a_grievance/index.php

That’s the board that can get her off the bench. Not something within the power of any Change.org petition.

—– 36.2 —–2022-01-16 07:43:26+08:00:

The judicial board, judge, court system are all buddies who work together.

Don’t be so sure. This woman is engaged in serious professional misconduct and I am confident that her peers would not approve. She likely will face a professional repairmand for that behaviour.

37: Hospital’s Beds are full in US, submitted on 2022-01-15 14:25:37+08:00.

—– 37.1 —–2022-01-16 02:15:43+08:00:

Removed. Spam and irrelevant. First and only warning.

38: Some Americans Could Start Getting 4th COVID-19 Vaccine Shot As Soon As This Week, submitted on 2022-01-16 00:28:52+08:00.

—– 38.1 —–2022-01-20 22:18:33+08:00:

Removed. Rule 7.


文章版权归原作者所有。
二维码分享本站