ForeignAffairsMag在2022-10-03~2022-10-09的言论
308: The Downside of Imperial Collapse: When Empires or Great Powers Fall, Chaos and War Rise, submitted on 2022-10-05 01:01:23+08:00.
—– 308.1 —–2022-10-05 01:07:48+08:00:
[SS from the essay by Robert Kaplan, Chair in Geopolitics at the Foreign Policy Research Institute.]
Today’s great powers are not empires. But Russia and China bear the traces of their imperial heritage. The Kremlin’s war in Ukraine is rooted in impulses that existed in both the Russian and the Soviet empires, and China’s aggressive intentions toward Taiwan echo the Qing dynasty’s quest for hegemony in Asia. The United States has never formally identified as an empire. But westward expansion in North America and occasional overseas territorial conquests gave the United States an imperial flavor in the nineteenth century, and in the postwar era it has enjoyed a level of global dominance previously known only to empires.
Today, all three of these great powers face uncertain futures, in which collapse or some degree of disintegration cannot be ruled out. The suite of problems is different for each, but the challenges confronting each country are fundamental to that power’s very existence. Russia faces the most immediate risk. Even if it somehow prevails in the war in Ukraine, Russia will have to confront the economic disaster of being decoupled from the EU and the G-7 economies unless there is a genuine peace, which now appears unlikely. Russia may already be the sick man of Eurasia, as the Ottoman Empire was of Europe.
—– 308.2 —–2022-10-05 03:46:56+08:00:
Here is FA’s review for The Dawn of Everything. If it helps, this link will unlock the paywall:
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/guest-pass/redeem/lDpc6zf6U6g
文章版权归原作者所有。
